For a layman, the number of visitors received by a blog is
the foremost parameter on which a blog is measured, for a designer/ Developer
too, the first priority is accentuating the number of visitors they receive.
Note. If you think you've missed the previous part, check out the 'When will my blog die?' study from the start.
However, what ensures a huge turnout on your website? Yes it
is the search engine. Google's Page-rank is one of the few things that ensure a
constant flow of readers towards the blog. However, if Google's bots do not
find any changes in a website, the number of visitors would be stemmed.
After all nobody at any search engine wants to direct users towards a month oldarticle if several recently updated ones exist (Remember the SEO basics). Hence when you stop posting
articles on the blog, the number of new visitors on the blog will surely ebb
and the blog will move towards death.
However, nothing can be said about your regular viewers or
fans who would constantly check your website for weeks in the anticipation of
newer content. But let’s face it, after some weeks of disappointment even the
most regular of your fans would think twice. Such exercise (current study) if
performed on the blog frequently, would lead to lowering of the said returning
visitors.
The Study,
As seen in the chart below, one can easily deduce that the
website in question is heading for a breakdown.
No Change Zone
First comes the no change zone. Which in short is a 3 week
zone where there exists no change in the number of visitors at the website. As
is evident from the graph the cycle of visitors repeats twice in this period.
Reduction Zone
After 21 days of banality, the website heads towards the
lower end showing signs of decline.
Deceleration Zone
After about 5 weeks, comes the final blow. The website
accelerates towards a literal destruction in the form of reduced page views andreduced earnings.
Things actually get really interesting here because you are not sure which way
the website goes. This zone is very easily achieved in a "Popular at the moment blog" and very slowly achieved in a multilingual website.
When will the blog have no page views?
Since the blog could not be kept in a dry spell until it
dies, one has only one option to find out the truth, i.e. to extrapolate from
the present values. Such extrapolation would enable us to find the date at
which the visitors would stop coming (with a tolerance of some days). The
present graph follows a linear deterioration with the equation y = -2.611x +
461.5, which shows that after 177 days the visitors would stop adorning the
blog and hence the blog would truly die.
The Complete Study
The Complete 5 Part Study can be accessed from here as it is published,
[Published on 8th Dec 2014]
[Published on 15th Dec 2014]
[Published on 22th Dec 2014]
[Published on 29th Dec 2014]
[Published on 19th Jan 2015]
This answered,
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